Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.322561 0.347041 0.373197 0.403345 0.437288 0.474503 0.518636
2025-02-09 0.272817 0.308413 0.349455 0.400896 0.464552 0.542000 0.645401
2025-02-16 0.236329 0.276642 0.325745 0.391314 0.478798 0.595034 0.767875
2025-02-23 0.213664 0.257056 0.312283 0.390010 0.500703 0.660082 0.923315
2025-03-02 0.194500 0.238902 0.297351 0.383105 0.511938 0.710663 1.071880
2025-03-09 0.179081 0.223666 0.283990 0.375619 0.519752 0.756200 1.226757
2025-03-16 0.166704 0.211170 0.272760 0.369185 0.527229 0.801727 1.398667
2025-03-23 0.160299 0.206211 0.271468 0.377164 0.558817 0.896634 1.718978
2025-03-30 0.151369 0.196854 0.262707 0.372028 0.566656 0.948169 1.966795
2025-04-06 0.140905 0.184525 0.248426 0.356220 0.552657 0.951727 2.089659
2025-04-13 0.131580 0.173298 0.235013 0.340517 0.536597 0.947368 2.189439
2025-04-20 0.127568 0.169689 0.233071 0.344009 0.557596 1.031104 2.635441
2025-04-27 0.125856 0.169655 0.237097 0.359028 0.605764 1.200197 3.617536
2025-05-04 0.121298 0.165056 0.233547 0.360315 0.626508 1.310545 4.563936
2025-05-11 0.115555 0.158288 0.225958 0.353337 0.628155 1.369695 5.382507
2025-05-18 0.111440 0.153843 0.221916 0.352655 0.644134 1.480188 6.879720
2025-05-25 0.106801 0.148299 0.215609 0.346869 0.647029 1.551011 8.373411
2025-06-01 0.102436 0.142968 0.209314 0.340468 0.647352 1.614477 10.171962
2025-06-08 0.098545 0.138215 0.203719 0.334930 0.648947 1.684877 12.627407
2025-06-15 0.096855 0.136961 0.204167 0.341829 0.684358 1.910848 20.708555
2025-06-22 0.093610 0.132972 0.199469 0.337398 0.688288 2.007216 28.376064
2025-06-29 0.089247 0.126946 0.190790 0.323720 0.664185 1.963373 30.429320
2025-07-06 0.085126 0.121195 0.182378 0.310090 0.638687 1.905470 31.525256